Think : then try !

What you imagine , can happen  !

 

Hindustan Times ( 22 Aug ) carries news with following headlines :

 

“  8 cows in Rajasthan to be surrogate mothers “

Almost 2 years ago , I imagined this in my following blog :

 

Thursday, 26 November 2015

 

SURROGATE COW FARMS ?

 

 

 

Speaking at a Start-Up event at San Jose ( California ) on 27th Sept, PM Shri Modi said :

 

 

”  When each of the 500 odd towns produce 10 Start-Ups and each of our 600,000 villages produce six small businesses , on a regular basis , we will create an enormous economic momentum and generate a large number of jobs in our country

 

I want to see the idea and spirit of Start Ups light up the economies and the fortunes of people in rural India  ”

 

 

Entirely doable . Consider the following suggestion :

 

 

*  Chinese biotechnology firm BoyaLife and South Korea’s Sooam Biotech , are constructing in China, World’s largest animal cloning factory

 

*  Production will start next year , with an initial capacity for one lakh cattle embryos a year , growing to one million per year

 

*  Dog , racehorse and COW embryos  will be produced

 

 

Obviously , BoyaLife will need to ” rent out ” cow-wombs , to grow / nurture these embryos

 

And that is THE OPPORTUNITY , to be seized by our rural Start-Ups  !

 

By setting up , ” Surrogate Cow Farms ” of 10 cows each

 

 

Then renting out these cow-wombs to BoyaLife , for $ 1,000 per surrogacy ( In city of Anand – Gujarat , human wombs can be rented out for $ 15,000 )

 

One million cow-wombs will earn these rural Start Ups , $ 1,000 million / year  !

 

At 10 cows per Start Ups , 100,000 Start Ups will be born  !

 

Raising our EXPORT earnings by $ 1,000 million  !

 

And nothing should stop these rural Start Ups from importing embryos of Dogs and Racehorses , and then re-exporting fully grown pets to Europe / America  !

 

 

I only hope , some MORAL POLICEMEN do not start a controversy by shouting :

 

 

”  How can we allow our holy Indian cows , to bear the unholy Chinese cattle embryos in their wombs , when we just banned our surrogate human mothers to carry the embryos of Foreign citizens  ? ”

 

 

Of course , it is another story that these very same ” moralists ” have no love lost for the prostitutes who are forced to ” rent out ” their very human bodies , in order to survive  !

 

 

One last request to the concerned Ministers / Secretaries in NDA government :

 

Please , include these ” Surrogate Cow Farms ” in your definition of Start Ups in your proposed

 

” Start Up Policy Document ”

 

It is another matter that , each and every jobless individual ( not earning a salary from some other individual or organization ) , and struggling to become self-employed , qualifies as a Start Up

 

22  Aug  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

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Poll – Khol ?

Poll  Reforms  :  Time  for  a  Consensus

 

A Parliamentary Panel headed by Shri Anand Sharma , has come out with a questionnaire , requesting Election Commission and all the Political Parties , their views on many issues surrounding Electoral Reforms

 

Here is what Indian Express reported on this on 21 Aug 2017 :

 

Changes  in  Poll  System

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/08/changes-in-poll-system.html

 

 

Over the past 3 years , I have sent a few suggestions in this regard to the Election Commission as well as to Central Government Ministers and Secretaries / Niti Aayog / some State Chief Ministers / major Political Parties / MPs / MLAs etc

 

Here is a partial list :

 

              https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/09/filtering-candidate-information.html 

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/03/presidential-or-coalition-government.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/02/electoral-reforms-capsule-bitter-pill.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/12/reforming-elections-and-lok-sabha-real.html

 

 

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/11/one-nation-one-vote.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/10/constitutional-coalition-aftershocks.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/04/a-blue-print-for-votesapp.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/04/evm-as-susceptible-as-mom.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/03/evmbahana.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/01/we-are-not-bribing-voters.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/01/model-code-of-hypocrite-conduct.html

=======================================================

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/12/let-us-begin-at-beginning.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/12/a-freebie-that-cannot-be-faulted.html

=======================================================

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/12/how-will-political-parties-survive.html

=======================================================

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/09/simultaneous-elections-what-do-you-think.html

=======================================================

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/09/one-poll-one-time.html

=======================================================

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/09/advantage-incumbent.html

=======================================================

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/06/the-greatest-reform.html

=======================================================

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/03/one-day-polling-is-possible.html

=======================================================

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2015/10/honey-i-shrunk-evm.html

=======================================================

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2013/12/perennial-poll-promises.html

 

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2015/08/romp-panacea.html

 

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/03/how-to-shame-mps-mlas.html

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But the question is :

 

Which Political Party is ready to let go its Strangle-Hold on the system and transfer the power to the Citizens ?  Which politician wants to sign his / her “ own death warrant “ ?

 

Long time back , Karl Marx is supposed to have said :

 

Religion is the opium of the masses !

 

If he was alive today , he would have said :

 

For suffering / starving citizens , Voting is the illusion of power that the political parties wish to perpetuate !

 

22  Aug  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

 

 

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12 Million jobs per year ?

Brain  Inc  2.0

 

That is the title of a full page article in Business Line  ( 01 Aug )

 

The article highlights following statistics :

 

  • 5 lakh ( 500,000 ) engineers work in “ Tech R&D firms “ in India

 

  • $ 22 Billion was the worth of their work in 2015-16

 

  • This will nearly DOUBLE to $ 40 Billion in 2020

 

  • 7,500 engineers are employed by SAP India for R&D

 

  • 11,800 people work in Cisco’s R&D facilities in Bengaluru

 

  • 56 % of ABB’s 2,500 technologists doing R&D in India, hold PhD degrees in corporate research

 

  • The number of PhDs in India are on the rise . In 2015-16 academic year, 24,171 PhDs were awarded across the country . But only a few were in Computer Science

 

The article also lists the following , MADE  IN  INDIA  products that went global :

 

  • ABB’s Bengaluru research centre designed and manufactured the world’s highest voltage 1200 kv transformer and circuit breaker

This 1.2 million volt transformer represents the highest alternating current voltage level in the world

 

  • The Watson Data Platform developed by the IBM India Software Labs is now the enabler for IBM’s biggest revenue growth

The Watson Data Platform enables data scientists to work together in a more simpler way to find new and unexpected insights that deliver business-changing results

 

  • SAP Labs India has the ownership for Asset Intelligence Network, which provides a cloud-based collaborative asset management platform that lets companies, helping manage IoT devices across the company

 

Now consider this :

 

  • By employing 5 lakh engineers , India’s “ Tech R&D Firms “ earned $ 22 billion . That works to a billing of $ 44,000 per man-year of R&D ( Export of Services )

 

  • I presume that the “ Manpower Cost “ constitute approx. 50 % of Billing Rate ( rest being OVERHEADS and MARGIN )

 

  • Hence , Indian R&D firms must be paying an average of $ 22,000 per year to its employees ( approx. Rs 1.2 lakh per month )

 

  • As against this , both , Indian as well as American firms pay ( on an average ) , $ 88,000 per year to H1 B visa holders

 

 

 

  • With this kind of “ Cost Advantage “ , is there a possibility to do better than the projected earnings of $ 40 billion in 2020 ?

 

My take :

 

It is possible if the Central Government considers following suggestions :

 

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2015/09/back-factory-of-world.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2015/10/agenda-for-reforms.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/04/vishals-vision.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/01/will-holograms-beat-h1b-visa-ban.html

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https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/03/wormholes-across-world.html

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It is high time our Policy Makers launch a new initiative ( of Export of Intellectual  Property ) , called :

 

INDIA  :  the  BRAIN  FACTORY  of  THE  WORLD

 

22  Aug  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

 

 

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Rewards bigger than Recognition !

Education  Necessary :  Reward  Essential  !

 

Reported in Hindustan Times ( 16 Aug ) :

“ Managing your waste well ?  Civic body set to reward you “

 

PROBLEM

 

BMC data shows that only 48 % of the housing societies in the city segregate waste daily , while around 7993 metric tonnes of unprocessed waste is dumped at the Mulund , Deonar and Kanjurmarg grounds

 

BMC’s  EDUCATING  EFFORTS

 

  • Conducting Waste Management competition among housing societies in each ward

 

  • Conducting presentations for the societies on public holidays to teach citizens various waste management techniques

 

  • In first week of September, BMC will also stage a citywide exhibition , displaying composting machines of 40 to 50 firms , before 22,000 bulk generators such as hotels and societies

 

  • BMC has appointed 35 teams to undertake daily door – to – door campaigns and inspect housing societies

 

 

 

WHAT  ABOUT  REWARD  ?

 

No one will deny that all of this “ Educating “ is necessary

But , by itself , it is not likely to bring about the desired results  !

But the desired results can come only when BMC puts in place :

 

 

Incentivizing  Housing  Societies  {  27  April  2016  }

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/04/incentivize-housing-societies.html

 

And the surest way to solve the problem of Plastic Garbage ( 15,000 tons per day in entire India ) , is to implement :

 

Discourage Plastics : Encourage Greed  { 21  March  2016  }

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/03/discourage-plastics-encourage-greed.html

 

21  Aug  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

 

 

 

 

 

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Treat Lives with respect

A  Prabhu – on – Earth  ?

 

Yesterday , a train accident in UP , caused 23 deaths and 100 + injuries

 

Such accidents have been happening every alternate year , for decades

 

But , should these continue to happen with the same regularity , for coming decades ?

 

And , should these be “ taken for granted “ in a country whose Scientists have sent a Mission on Mars ( MOM ) , at the very first attempt ?

 

I wonder if Shri Prabhu found time to read my following email :

 

 

A  Matter  of  Shame  ( 13  March  2017  )

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/03/a-matter-of-shame.html

 

 

And what about people dying on Mumbai’s local trains network ?

 

Some 3202 in 2016 ! Of these , 1798 died while crossing the tracks ( 8 per day )

 

To save these lives , I had suggested :

 

A Trillion Dollar  Opportunity  ?  ( 03  Sept  2016  )

 

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/09/indian-railways-trillion-dollar.html

 

 

Now it is possible that the kind of TECHNOLOGICAL  INNOVATION ( – a controlled EMP ), suggested by me , is not possible ( – of course , no one has come forward to say so ! )

 

But , “ where there is a will , there is a way “ !

 

On Mumbai’s local train tracks , across the track ,“ Cross Girders “ are positioned every 50 meters , for supporting electric cables carrying the current

 

What if :

  • CCTV cameras are mounted on these ( facing both directions ) to capture the persons crossing the tracks

 

  • Also mounted alongside , are EMP generating devices ( cost = approx. Rs 5,000 )

 

  • CCTV are linked with EMP devices ( – through Internet of Things / IP V 6.0 )

 

  • The moment a person starts crossing the track , CCTV will capture his motion , determine his precise “ position “ ( using GPS in the Smart Phone in his pocket ) and “ trigger “ the EMP device

 

  • The EMP device will send a pulse of Electo-Magnetic Waves which will “ fry “ the electronics inside the Smart Phone , killing the phone permanently !

 

  • That will be the DIGITAL DEATH of that person ! No smart phone , No existence !

 

Till he buys a new one ( Smart Phone manufacturers , take note to cooperate )

 

  • He will NEVER cross the tracks again ( – we pray that he survives the first attempt )

 

  • And , the news of “ Digital Death by EMP “ will spread so fast on Social Media that no one else will want to cross the tracks

 

  • Prevention is better than cure !

 

Dear Shri Suresh Prabhu :

 

Please , do NOT wait to calculate how much will this technological solution will cost

 

Any way , ask a Start Up to examine :

 

http://www.instructables.com/id/Destroy-Any-Device-With-EMP-Jammer/

 

20  Aug  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

 

 

 

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Court is not Courtship !

An  App  called  “  AdJourn  “

 

DNA ( 30 July ) carried a report with following headline :

 

“ BMC tracks counsels, to fire those below par “

 

The civic body is using a software to keep track of its 60,000 court cases

 

According to an official, the counsels’ performance will be monitored through the number of adjourn to date

 

“ We have found that counsels kept running the case for years by getting new dates and continued to charge for each appearance in court “ , said the official

 

Look at what I found at :

http://www.freepressjournal.in/mumbai/bmc-spent-rs-105-cr-on-court-cases/543581

 

The BMC spent over Rs.100 cr in last 13 years as payment to lawyers, who represented the civic body in various court cases. Majority of the cases pertained to illegal constructions and the highest paid lawyer was senior counsel K K Sanghavi, who received Rs.19.13 cr as legal fees from the BMC in last 13 years.

 

This was revealed in a Right to Information (RTI) query filed by activist Anil Galgali.

 

The reply from the corporation further showed that between 2001 to 2014, the BMC engaged 151 lawyers and paid them Rs.105.06 cr as legal fees. The top10 lawyers whom the BMC paid the highest fees were Sanghvi, Anil Sakhre, who was paid Rs.10.58 cr, G E Vahanvaty (Rs.4.9 cr), E P Bharucha (Rs.4.28 cr, S U Kamdar (Rs.3.65  cr), Ramesh Bhat Rs.2.63 cr), Pallav Sisodiya Rs.2.06 cr), J Rais (Rs.1.85 cr, (B L Chabbria (Rs.1.8 cr) and (Subhash Vyas (Rs.1.8 cr). These top 10 lawyers were paid a total of around Rs.51.88 cr, which comes to 49.37% of the total expenses.

 

The law department of the BMC, however, informed him that it does not have record about the success rate of the cases. “Till now no such independent record is available with the department,” the law department stated in the reply.

 

Now , there are 2 types of cases , viz:

TYPE A

  • Cases filed by others on BMC
  • Where BMC will save lawyer’s fees if “ No of hearing dates “ are reduced . Call this a SAVING

TYPE B

  • Cases filed by BMC on others
  • Where winning that case would result in some “ Earnings “ for BMC . Call this a EARNING

Hence , the lawyer’s fees should be decided based on SAVINGS ( in case of TYPE A ) ,

Or EARNINGS ( in case of TYPE B ) – which accrue in the shortest possible time

 

Based on statistics for the past 10 years , BMC should compute , a FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION CURVE ( a BELL shaped curve ) , for the “ No of Hearing Dates “ and calculate the STANDARD DEVIATION ( Sigma ) and calculate ( + / – ) 3 SIGMA limits

 

That would tell the BMC , “ Most likely Number of Hearing Dates “ for any given case

 

Let us say , this figure comes out 20

 

And BMC already knows in advance , “ Lawyer’s fees per appearance “ ( say, Rs 5000 )

 

So , estimating exactly ( with a probability of 99 % ) , HOW MUCH this case will cost , is a no brainer ! It would be Rs 100,000 ( for 20 hearings )

 

Now tell the Counsel :

 

Sir , this is the Upper Limit of the amount that we will pay you ( Rs 100,000 ) for fighting this case

 

But , from 10th “ date “ onwards , we will start deducting , Rs 5,000 per each additional hearing , beyond 10th ( – a PENALTY ),

And ,

For each date less than 10 , we will pay you a BONUS of Rs 5,000 !

 

And , we will DOUBLE the BONUS amount so arrived , if you WIN the case  !

 

Next witness a miracle !

 

All cases will start getting completed in 5 hearings !  May be in months , instead of in years !

 

I have a feeling that , overall , BMC will save crores of rupees ( despite paying BONUSES to lawyers ) , since it would save a huge amount of TIME that its officers are currently spending in courts ( – and earning TA / DA ! )

 

After reading this , do not be surprised if some Start Up ( could be :  MeetUrPro / LawRato / Vakilsearch /  IndiaFilings / Vahura  ) , comes up with a Mobile App called , “  AdJourn “ , to enable BMC lawyers to enter the adjourned date in the App which instantly and automatically , updates the CASE STATUS on the BMC web site and simultaneously , on the web site of the concerned court  !

 

Call this , “ Transparency at its Best “ ( – also to judge the performance of the JUDGE ! )

 

With more than 30 million cases pending in Courts all over India ,”  AdJourn “ could change the very landscape of India’s Legal Management System , if adopted by all the Courts !

 

This could be one more “ App for Everything “ – which Shri Modi would love to launch !

 

20  Aug  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

 

 

 

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Electric Cars are coming !

An  Electric Future  ?

 

DNA ( 18 Aug ) carries an interview of Tony Seba ( Lecturer of Entrepreneurship , Disruption and Clean Energy at Stanford University )

Title : Electric Cars to rule Indian roads by 2020

Following is an excerpt :

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PREDICTION

Internal Combustion vehicles which run on petrol and diesel could be wiped out globally in as little as 8-10 years

 

BACKGROUND

Passenger vehicles in India in financial year 2016-17, grew at 9.24 per cent, the fastest rate of growth in 6 years, largely on the backs of utility vehicles , most of which run on diesel, which is much cheaper than petrol

 

PARALLEL

“ Remember at the time of Smartphones , India was the country which was the quickest to adopt the smartphone culture

In India, the transport disruption can happen sooner  “

 

 

FINANCIAL  SAVINGS

India stands to save as much as $ 6,000 ( Rs 4 lakh ) a year per family as transportation cost will be 10 TIMES cheaper

As a nation too, India , which imports about 80 % og its crude requirements , will stand to save on its import bill

 

POLLUTION

Electric vehicles emit about 95 % less pollutants compared to cars that run on fossil fuels

With electric vehicles, the emissions will come down and health-wise , it will be very important

 

OWNING  Vs  DRIVING

“ In totality an owner on average, uses 4 PER CENT of his car

OLA and UBER use 40 PER CENT

Hence , instead of parking, the latter will be moving around . This means, if they are EVs ( Electric Vehicles ), there will be 70 % fewer cars

 

COST  PER  KM

When we use Electric Vehicles, the “ cost per km “ goes down 10 TIMES, as compared to combustion vehicles

Every time there is a difference of 10 TIMES in prices, disruption happens and for the vehicle sector it will take 10 YEARS for disruption to happen

 

WORKING  LIFE

Electric vehicles have a working life that is THREE TIMES that of a petrol or diesel car

They also have only 20 MOVING PARTS , compared to 100 for regular cars

 

RESALE  VALUE

Resale value of cars will also go down, resulting in less purchase of such cars

 

OIL  PRICES

Globally, oil will heat peak demand by 2020 at 100 million barrels a day and by 2030, it will dip to 70 million barrels a day

 

FUTURE OF PETROL / DIESEL CARS

By 2020 – 2021,  no new Combustible vehicles will be sold

 

I suppose Tony Seba reached above conclusions based on following :

  • Announcements by different countries , to completely switch over to Electric Vehicles :

[  Planned switch over by Year  /  Share of Electric cars in 2016  ]

 

Netherlands …………  [ 2025  /  6.39 % ]

France………………….. [ 2040 /  1.46 %   ]

UK…………………………  [ 2040 /  1.41 %   ]

Norway…………………  [  2025 /  28.76 % ]

India…………………….. [ 2030 /   0.02 %   ]

 

  • No of Electric cars likely by 2040 ….. 530 Million globally

India plans to replace its entire current vehicle population of 200 million by 2030 + all the petrol / diesel vehicles that will get manufactured between now and 2030 , although one estimate says , EVs will constitute only 44 % of total fleet in India by 2030

 

It would not be out of place to ask :

 

Will India have the required amount of Electric Power to charge all these EVs by 2030 ?  And , will it be CLEAN POWER ( from solar / wind etc ) or will it be DIRTY POWER ( from coal ? )

 

For context , per capita consumption of power ( in 2014 ) was :

Norway……………….. 23,000 kwh

USA……………………..  12,973 kwh

India……………………     1,075 kwh

 

  • Currently , EVs consume 6 TW of electricity globally . By 2040 , that will rise to 1800 TW ( approx. 5 % of global power demand )

 

  • Current manufacturing capacity ( globally ) for Lithium-ion batteries , is 90 GW , which is expected to rise to 270 GW by 2021

 

  • 35 giga-factories like the one built by Tesla , needed in next 13 years !

 

To know why this may not be possible , read :

 

https://futurism.com/analyst-questions-elon-musks-10-year-ev-prediction-is-it-achievable/

 

  • Li-ion battery costs have fallen by 70 % since 2010 / from $ 1000 per kwh to about $ 300 per kwh

By 2030 , this is expected to fall to $ 73 per kwh !

 

Battery constitutes nearly 50 % – 70 % of EV selling price

 

 

For further info ( on the incoming disruption ) read :

Tony Seba stands vindicated  (  16  March  2017  )

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/03/tony-seba-stands-vindicated.html

 

 

 

18  Aug  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

 

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