You have a Choice !

Is  there  a  parallel  ?

 

 

In India , some 6 lakh persons die premature deaths each year due to air pollution

 

And 10 lakh suffer same early death each year due to tobacco use

 

To reduce air pollution , many countries are planning to phase out petrol / diesel vehicles and phase-in, electric vehicles , such as :

 

*        UK………………. 2040

 

  • Scotland…….. 2032

 

  • France………..  2040

 

  • Norway……….  2025

 

  • Austria……….   2025

 

  • Netherlands.   2030

 

  • China……….     2030

 

  • Finland…….     2030

 

  • India……….      2030

 

 

  • Hopefully , soon after 2030 ( 13 years from now ) , those 6 lakh premature deaths in India will come down drastically – all due to public hue and cry and admirably rapid response from our Policy Makers ( especially , Shri Nitin Gadkariji )

 

 

  • But I don’t find similar “ sense of urgency “ from the concerned ministers , in respect of premature deaths due to tobacco-related causes !

 

 

  • If anything , matters seem to be getting worse , if one reads following news reports which appeared in papers :

 

 

More Women and Teens in State now using tobacco

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/mumbai/more-women-and-teens-in-maharashtra-now-using-tobacco/articleshow/61991514.cms?

 

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/nagpur/tobacco-use-causes-1-death-every-6-seconds/articleshow/58914675.cms

 

Why cannot we plan to phase out all tobacco usage in next 15 / 20 years , in much the same way , we are planning to phase out petrol / diesel vehicles  ?

 

While introducing a bill to ban petrol / diesel cars from California by 2040 , here is what Assembly Member , Phil Ting said :

 

“ Until you set a deadline, nothing gets done,”  Ting told Bloomberg. “ It’s responsible for us to set a deadline 23 years in advance. ”

https://futurism.com/california-working-ban-gas-powered-cars-2040/

 

As far back as Aug 2013 , I suggested such a 20 year “ Phase Out “ for tobacco ( 2013 – 2033 ) , in my following blog , detailing very specific steps / bench marks :

 

Going Up in Smoke ?

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2013/08/going-up-in-smoke.html

 

It is a pity, no citizen is asking the politicians :

 

“ When will you include this plan in your Poll Manifesto ? “

 

09  Dec  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

 

 

 

 

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Keep Going !

BMC  turns  responsive  ?

 

 

DNA ( 08 Dec ) carries following news :

 

“ Swachhata goes digital, BMC launches app for complaints “

 

 

 

 

In order to promote and encourage cleanliness among citizens, the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) has formed 24 teams who will visit all the wards across the city to create awareness about the new Swachhata-MoHUA App.

 

The teams will encourage citizens to download the app and guide them on the steps to be followed that will help them conveniently register the garbage-related complaints of their area from their phone. The teams will also interact with citizens to solicit feedback on the cleanliness situation.

 

Vijay Singhal, Additional Municipal Commissioner (eastern suburbs) and in charge of Cleanliness Survey 2018 said that the feedback from residents will help BMC to improve cleanliness standards.

 

Singhal said that residents can register their complaints through the Swachhata-MoHUA App which will aid fast redressal of complaints.

“The complaint made through the Swachhata-MoHUA App will be addressed within 12 hours. The BMC has made provisions for a separate control room to monitor complaints received through the app,” said Singhal.

 

Civic-related issues like garbage dumps, dead animals, cleaning of public toilets and water supply can be resolved through the app.

 

Singhal added that cleanliness is a participatory process and the civic body alone cannot keep the city clean.

Congrats  , Shri  Singhal  ,

 

Congratulations on implementing ( – although , partial ) my suggestion :

 

I  SIN > < U SIN  {  I  SEEK   IT   NOW  >  <  U  SOLVE  IT  NOW  }

http://www.hemenparekh.in/2013/08/i-sin-sin-that-could-be-name-of-android.html#.WissgUqWbcc

 

I urge you to further implement , the rest of the features , at your earliest

 

Let BMC lead the way for other municipal corporations , all over India

 

09  Dec  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

 

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The End is in Sight !

Unfair to Mani Shankar Aiyar  !

 

Yesterday, Shri Mani Shankar  Aiyar described Shri Narendra Modi, as a “ Neech  aadmi “

 

Before 2014 general elections , he had called Shri Modi , “ Chaiwala / Snake / Scorpion “

 

Some say , that remark caused Congress to lose Lok Sabha Election in 2014

 

But that is being totally “ unfair “ to Shri Aiyar  !

 

In my following blog , written before 2014 elections , find what other Congress Leaders had called Shri Modi

 

Then decide who must take how much blame if Congress fails miserably in current Gujarat Election !

 

 

 

Friday, 28 March 2014

 

 

Who all are scared of NaMo ?

 

 

You don’t need to be a Psycho-Analyst to figure out , who all are scared to death of Narendra Modi

 

 

Obviously , all those who abused him over the past few months

 

 

I figure , the more they abused and the lower they stooped , the more they were scared  !

 

 

As if this was some competition where your own getting a ticket depended upon how foul you can get with your language  !

 

 

Here is a  ( no doubt , partial )  list of  ” who ” called  Namo , ” what ”  :

 

 

 

>   Sonia  Gandhi……………….. Maut ka Sodagar

 

 

>   Salman Khurshid……………  Impotent / Monkey

 

 

>   Mani Shankar Ayer…………. Chaiwala / Snake / Scorpion

 

 

>   Rashid Alvi ………………….. Yamraj  riding  a Buffalo

 

 

>   Digvijay Singh  ……………    Ravana

 

 

>   Hussein Dalwi  ……………..  Mouse

 

 

>   Beni Prasad Verma  ……….  Dog

 

 

>   Manish Tiwari ………………   Dawood Ibrahim

 

 

>   Shantaram Naik  …………..   Hitler / Pol Pot

 

 

>   Renuka Chowdhury ……….   NaMonitis Virus

 

 

>   Naresh Agarwal  …………..   Chaiwala

 

 

 

 

And to top this all , 2 days back , Imran Masood threatened to cut up NaMo into pieces  !

 

 

I wish , all of this name-calling was nothing more than a symptom of their nervousness .

 

 

Voters would have treated such nervousness as natural human reaction to impending disaster – and might have , even forgiven them

 

 

But , I suspect these outbursts are no mere ” Symptoms ”

 

 

This is the  DISEASE  itself  !

 

 

Godse killed Bapu physically in 1948

 

 

But those claiming to be Bapu’s ” Moral Heirs ” , continue to kill his spirit every day , 66 years later  !

 

 

 

VOTERS   OF   INDIA  ,

 

 

 

When you are about to press that button on the EVM ( Electronic Voting Machine ) , do recognize the disease

!

 

 

 

08  Dec  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

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A Good Beginning !

It  is  Catching  On  !

 

DNA ( 06 Dec ) carries following news :

 

“ Fadnavis cracks whip on babus, sets key goals for Dec 2019 “

 

And the goals are :

 

  • Construction of 4 lakh houses

 

  • Implementation of Make In India projects worth Rs 8 lakh*crore

 

  • Develop skills in 42 million persons by 2022

 

  • Enhance vegetation in urban land areas by 15 %

 

Only a few days back , Press Information Bureau , released following note on Nutrition Mission :

http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=174025  ]

 

Cabinet approves setting up of National Nutrition Mission

 

Implementation strategy and targets:

 

Implementation strategy would be based on intense monitoring and Convergence Action Plan right up to the grass root level.

 

 

NNM will be rolled out in three phases from 2017-18 to 2019-20.

 

 

NNM targets to,

 

  • reduce stunting, under-nutrition, anemia (among young children, women and adolescent girls) and,

 

  • reduce low birth weight by 2%, 2%, 3% and 2% per annum

 

  • Although the target to reduce Stunting is at least 2% p.a., Mission would strive to achieve reduction in Stunting from 38.4% (NFHS-4) to 25% by 2022

 

 

 

Quantifying “ goals / targets “ to be achieved by a “ given date “ and then measuring the “ performance “ of officers responsible based on “ actual achievement “ , is a true paradigm shift in GOVERNANCE

 

 

I wish to congratulate Shri Fadnavis , for implementing my following suggestion ( sent to Shri Jaitleyji on 04 Dec 2014 ) :

 

 

 

BUDGETING     BY    OBJECTIVES

 

 

 

Dear Shri Jaitley ,

 

 

Come Feb 2015 and you will present your Budget in Lok Sabha

 

You will allocate thousands of crores of rupees to different ministries , for spending during 2015-16

 

You may even increase / decrease their allocations based on , to what extent ( % ) did they manage to actually ” spend ” their current year’s allocations

 

The one and only emphasis is on ” spending ” !

 

 

As usual , no MP will ask :

 

 

”  But , what exactly did the Minister concerned achieve by spending this money  ?

 

What physical / measureable targets did the Minister succeed in reaching / exceeding , with that money  ?  Where / What are the OUTPUTS  ?

 

Why is it that no targets were set in advance , before the start of the year ?

 

How come , Minister was allowed to shoot first and then draw concentric circles around the hole afterwards ( at the end of the year ) , to claim BULL’S EYE  ?  ”

 

 

 

In private sector , shareholders / bankers do not hesitate to sack the CMD / MD / CEO , if he fails to deliver on promised profit

 

 

Then , why are Ministers allowed to retain their posts ( – or even get kicked upstairs ! ), despite failing to deliver  ?

 

 

 

Dear Shri Jaitley :

 

 

MPs should know that YOU cannot answer these questions , simply because , at the time of the Budget Exercise , no physical OUTPUTS  got fixed for each Minister

 

 

What did get fixed , were only EXPENDITURE TARGETS  !

 

 

Simply because MPs passed the Budget without fixing targets such as following for 31 March 2015 :

 

 

*  FINANCE  MINISTER

 

*   GDP ….. 6 % ………… [ 10 % improvement ]

 

*   CAD…….( –  ) 5 % …..[ 20 % improvement ]

 

 

 

*  COMMERCE  MINISTER

 

*   Exports…….. $ 350 Billion  ….  [ 10 % improvement  ]

 

*   FDI…………..$    50 Billion…… [  20 % improvement  ]

 

 

 

*   RAILWAY   MINISTER

 

*   Lengths of Tracks…… 125,000 Km…..      [  Up by 10 %  ]

 

*   No of Passenger Trains / day….. 10,000… [ Up by 10 % ]

 

 

 

*   HEALTH   MINISTER

 

*   Chronic Hunger and Hunger Related Deaths

8 Million / year ……………………………… [  Down by 20 %  ]

 

*   Under-nourished people….. 200 million….. [ Down by 10 % ]

 

 

 

*   SOCIAL   WELFARE   MINISTER

 

*    Dowery Deaths / year……. 8,000…… …… [  Down by 10 %  ]

 

*    People without Toilets…….. 500 Million….  [  Down by  20 % ]

 

 

 

*   AGRICULTURE   MINISTER

 

*    Farmers Suicide/ year….. .. 14,000……………  [ Down by 20 %  ]

 

*    Food Grain rotting / year….. 5 Million tons…..  [ Down by 20 %   ]

 

 

 

So on and so forth for each Minister

 

 

Some Caution / Suggestions :

 

 

*    Ignore the numbers given above. I could be factually wrong

 

*    Focus on the concept of ” Management by Objectives ”

 

*    Overcome the fear of ” failure to meet the targets “.

 

*    Overcome the fear of ” being ridiculed ” !

 

*    Don’t chop off the neck that dares to stick out  !

 

*    Only failure is , not fixing the targets  !

 

*    Actual vs Targeted achievements must be measured , on an ongoing

basis , by totally independent THIRD PARTY agencies

 

Ministers / Finance Minister and these Agencies , must agree in advance , how the

Agencies will go about ” measuring ” the Actual Achievements

 

The method of measurement must be transparent and well publicized

in advance

 

Agencies shall have no role in fixing of Annual Targets

 

That is best done by the Prime Minister – the CEO , MakeInIndia

 

 

*    There must be at least 10 performance parameters for each Minister

 

*    Parameters themselves could be selected / prioritized , based on an

ONLINE PUBLIC SURVEY / OPINION POLL , from Govt web site

 

*    If conducting such an ONLINE POLL for the forthcoming budget is

too late , same could be done on a printed form , by current MPs /

MLAs / Rajya Sabha Members

 

*    Results of the SURVEY / POLL , must be published

 

 

07  Dec  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

 

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Nothing is more important

Too   Little  :  Too  Late  ?

Over 93 Lakh Children in India Suffering from Severe Acute Malnutrition

Over 93 lakh children have severe acute malnutrition (SAM) in the country, the government on Tuesday said, citing data from the latest health survey.

Minister of State for Health Faggan Singh Kulaste told the Rajya Sabha that there are 966 Nutritional Rehabilitation Centres (NRCs) in 25 states and UTs in the country.

“It is estimated that around 93.4 lakh children are having severe acute malnutrition (SAM) as per National Family Health Survey (NFHS)4 and out of this, 10 per cent of SAM with medical complications may require admission to NRCs,” he said in a written reply.

 

( http://www.news18.com/news/india/over-93-lakh-children-in-india-suffering-from-severe-acute-malnutrition-1371042.html  )

 

In this context , the following news in Business Line ( 02 Dec ) , appear to be a case of “ Too Little ,  Too Late “ :

 

“ Cabinet gives nod to set up Rs 9000 Crore nutrition mission “

 

The Mission , in its first phase ( 3 years ) cover 42 lakh children

 

That would work out to just Rs  19.5 / child / day  !

 

Any guess , how much of this amount will actually be “ food “ that reaches those children and how much will be “ administrative expenses “ ?

 

And how many more years will it take to reach all those 93.4 lakh children ?

 

Key facts about hunger in India

https://www.indiafoodbanking.org/hunger  ]

India is home to the largest undernourished population in the world
14.5% of our population is undernourished
190.7million people go hungry everyday
21.0% of children under 5 are underweight
38.4% of children under 5 years of age are stunted
1 in 4 children malnourished
3,000 children in India die every day from poor diet related illness
24% of under-five deaths in India
30% of neo-natal deaths in India

 

I urge the Government to take help of digital technology ( JAM trinity of Jan Dhan A/C – Aadhar – Mobile phone ), to tackle this problem , by considering implementation of :

 

BANMALI is the TOTAL SOLUTION

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/11/banmali-is-total-solution.html

 

 

Saving 1.2 million Kids

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2016/06/saving-12-million-kids.html

 

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06  Dec  2017

www.hemenparekh.in /  blogs

 

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Giga Factory needs Giga-Thinking !

India :  Energy  Storage  Mission

 

[   E-  mail :  Transport-niti@gov.in     /   cstranger@rmi.org  ]

[  Web site : http://niti.gov.in/writereaddata/files/document_publication/India-Energy-Storage-Mission.pdf  ]

 

 

For all interested in manufacturing of Electric Vehicles in India , this is an excellent document

 

NITI Aayog deserve congratulations on laying down a Road-Map for this monumental paper

 

Among many statistical projections and conclusions , this report says :

 

  • India would require a minimum of 20 GIGA FACTORIES by 2030 ( for 800 Gwh capacity )

[  40 Gwh per factory  ]

 

If we assume that some industry ( Reliance / JSW / Suzuki –DENSO / M&M etc ) manages to put up the very first such Giga factory in 2020 , then , this would require at least TWO giga-factories to be commissioned EVERY YEAR for the next 10 YEARS ( 2020 till 2030 )

 

FOR REFERENCE :

 

TESLA’s Giga-factory has a capacity of 35 Gwh and expected to cost $ 5 Billion ( apprx. Rs 35,000 Cr )

So , a 40 Gwh factory might cost , approx. Rs 40,000 cr

That means , we need an investment of Rs 80,000 Cr per year ( for 2 factories ) , for 10 years in row !

 

QUESTIONS :

 

  • Which private sector companies would come forward with such HUGE investments – especially when private sector investments have literally dried up during past 2 years ?

 

  • Which bank ( private or public ) would come forward with funding of these giga-factories, even as it is struggling to take big “ hair cuts “ on its existing NPA ?

 

  • Which company-director ( inside or outside ) would dare to go to the market for funds – when Li-ion Battery prices are DROPPING by an ave of 19 % per year ?

{  Projections :  2017 > $ 240/Kwh  //  2025  >  $ 109 / Kwh  //  2030  > $ 73 / Kwh  }

 

LARGER  PICTURE :

 

  • As per Report , for 100 % domestic manufacture of batteries, India would require,

#    3,500 Gwh of Lithium-ion Batteries

#     That would require an investment of $ 300 Billion [  Rs 20 Lakh*Crore  ]

 

MY  TAKE :

 

  • Government has neither the money , nor the expertise for setting up Giga factories

 

  • Private Sector would not want to take on such hugely “ Risky “ ventures

 

  • Banks want to play “ Safe “ while lending in light of many adverse negative developments

 

 

WHAT  IS  THE  WAY  OUT  :

 

  • Government to launch “ Battery Infra SPV “

 

  • Under Indonesia type “ Black Money Amnesty Scheme “ enable stashed away Black Money to come out in the official banking channel ( through deposits made in “ INFRA ACCOUNTS “ – like Jan Dhan Accounts ) . Remember , Indonesia managed to raise $ 342 Billions !

Read :    https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/2017/12/but-where-is-money.html

 

  • Such converted ( Black to White ) monies can only be invested in “ Battery Infra SPV “

 

Hoping for any other way to raise such HUGE amounts of “ Risk Free “  and  “  Interest Free “ funds , in such a short time , would only amount to  WISHFUL  THINKING  !

 

I hope someone has the courage to tell the public this terrible TRUTH !

 

It is time to forget all that senile talk of an AMNESTY SCHEME rewarding the dishonest tax-evaders and punishing the honest / middle class tax payers !

 

It is time to tell the people : If we want to eliminate air pollution and save 600,000 premature deaths per year , then Means are unimportant ;  Ends are  !

 

05  Dec  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

 

 

 

 

 

 

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E Commerce all the Way !

3 Laws of  E – Commerce

DNA ( 27 Oct ) carries following news report :

 

“ Govt readying policy to help e-commerce firms go global “

 

Aiming to expand Indian e-commerce sector globally, the Ministry of Electronics and IT has initiated preparation of a policy framework which will fuel the growth of the e-commerce economy.

 

This is part of ministry’s target to build a $1 trillion digital economy by 2022.

 

Electronics and IT minister Ravi Shankar Prasad recently took a meeting on the roadmap for the growth of digital economy and the next phase of Digital India.

 

In a presentation that was focused on digital economy, the ministry said a policy framework is underway for expanding e-commerce economy within India and globally including Saarc (South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation), South-East and West Asia, Africa and Brics (Brazil, India, Russia, China and South Africa), according to a senior official from the ministry.

 

” The aim is to capture foreign markets by Indian players and vice-versa,” the official said.

 

According to the available estimates, the e-commerce economy in India stands at around $30 billion and the government expects it to grow to $150 billion by 2024-25. The digital economy is also expected to create jobs for 30 million people by 2024-25.

 

The focus is also on developing India as a global hub for ‘fintech’.

 

As part of the growth in the digital economy, four new centre of excellence (CoE) will be launched in Ahmedabad in Gujarat, Gurgaon (Haryana), Visakhapatnam (Andhra Pradesh) and Aurangabad (Maharashtra) by March 2018. One such CoE is already operational in Bengaluru. All these initiatives are part of a new Internet of Things policy which is expected to be ready and operational by March next year.

 

The ministry is in the process of launching next phase of Digital India 2.0, which will be launched soon as it moves ahead to a target of $1 trillion digital economy by 2022.

 

‘Digital India 2.0’ will usher in a new India, which will increase the digital economy by 3.5 times from Rs 20 lakh crore at present to Rs 70 lakh crore by 2022. This will include digital payments industry worth Rs 35 lakh crore, software products and services industry at Rs 21 lakh crore, electronics industry at Rs 7 lakh crore and telecom at Rs 7 lakh crore, according to a presentation by the electronics and IT ministry.

 

Over the last two years, Digital India has made significant progress and it’s time to move to the next phase. The pillars of Digital India — broadband, e-governance, Make in India, e-Kranti, information for all, public internet program and others have to be strengthened and scaled up further as the government aims to make India fully-digitally literate. Digital India 2.0 will make way for new technologies for better and faster implementation. It will also outline the way ahead for New India, according to the ministry.

 

And only yesterday ( 04 Dec ) , Economy Times carried a news report titled :

 

“ India Opposes E-comm Talks at WTO, Submits Document “

The country has for the first time submitted a formal document opposing any negotiations on e-commerce at WTO

 

The country has said that it would ‘ continue the work under the Work Programme on electronic commerce….based on the existing mandate and guidelines , referring to the programme on e-commerce adopted by WTO countries in 1998 “

 

E-commerce entered the WTO in 1998, when member countries agreed not to impose customs duties on electronic transmissions, and the moratorium has been extended periodically

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It would be a pity – and a lost opportunity to take e-commerce to $ 150 billion by 2024-25 – if our DOCUMENT ( submitted to WTO ) , failed to incorporate :

 

“ Parekh’s  3  Laws  of  E – Commerce “ ,

https://myblogepage.blogspot.in/search?q=missing+the+wood

 

Sent to the Cabinet Ministers on 12  AUG  2016

 

05  Dec  2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

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